⚽ SIMULADOR MUNDIAL 2026
50,000 simulaciones · 2026-07-12 04:34
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50,000 simulaciones · 2026-07-12 04:34
Simulación inicial: 2026-06-04 20:48 (0 partidos jugados) → Actual: 2026-07-12 04:34 (72 partidos jugados)
| Ecuador 🇪🇨 | Inicio | Ahora | Cambio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clasifica a 16avos | 76.38% | 100% | ▲ +23.62% |
| 1° de grupo | 34.9% | 0% | ▼ -34.9% |
| 2° de grupo | 41% | 0% | ▼ -41% |
| 3° mejor ubicado | 24.1% | 100% | ▲ +75.9% |
| Llega a cuartos | 17.51% | 0% | ▼ -17.51% |
| Llega a semis | 8.17% | 0% | ▼ -8.17% |
| Campeón | 1.55% | 0% | ▼ -1.55% |
France +21.29%
Spain +20.01%
Argentina +18.4%
Germany -6.09%
Portugal -5.78%
Brazil -5.33% 
Toca cualquier selección para ver su análisis completo →
Esta simulación se re-calcula automáticamente cada vez que termina un partido de la fase de grupos, combinando los resultados reales ya jugados con 50,000 simulaciones Monte Carlo del resto.
Última actualización: 2026-07-12 04:34
REAL = resultado ya jugado PROY = proyectado según Power Ranking
Cómo ha cambiado la probabilidad de Ecuador y el líder del ranking a medida que avanza el Mundial.
| Partidos | Fecha | Ecuador clasifica | Ecuador campeón | Líder actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2026-06-04 20:48 | 76.38% | 1.55% | France (7.09%) |
| 12 | 2026-06-15 17:00 | 62.53% | 1.21% | Germany (6.66%) |
| 13 | 2026-06-15 18:27 | 61.65% | 1.19% | Germany (6.55%) |
| 14 | 2026-06-15 21:28 | 61.62% | 1.22% | Germany (6.73%) |
| 15 | 2026-06-16 00:35 | 61.68% | 1.15% | Germany (6.88%) |
| 16 | 2026-06-16 03:34 | 61.64% | 1.14% | Germany (6.83%) |
| 17 | 2026-06-16 21:35 | 62.15% | 1.24% | France (7.24%) |
| 18 | 2026-06-17 00:32 | 62.03% | 1.26% | France (7.65%) |
| 19 | 2026-06-17 03:30 | 62.74% | 1.25% | France (7.53%) |
| 20 | 2026-06-17 06:39 | 62.6% | 1.27% | France (7.39%) |
| 21 | 2026-06-17 19:31 | 62.43% | 1.27% | France (7.62%) |
| 22 | 2026-06-17 22:32 | 63.02% | 1.24% | France (7.47%) |
| 23 | 2026-06-18 01:34 | 62.55% | 1.23% | France (7.49%) |
| 24 | 2026-06-18 04:33 | 62.94% | 1.15% | France (7.5%) |
| 25 | 2026-06-18 18:29 | 64.42% | 1.23% | France (7.45%) |
| 26 | 2026-06-18 21:45 | 64.55% | 1.17% | France (7.57%) |
| 28 | 2026-06-19 03:44 | 63.45% | 1.13% | France (7.22%) |
| 32 | 2026-06-20 05:53 | 65.71% | 1.18% | France (7.2%) |
| 33 | 2026-06-20 19:46 | 66.45% | 1.18% | France (7.46%) |
| 34 | 2026-06-20 22:47 | 66.77% | 1.16% | France (7.18%) |
| 35 | 2026-06-21 02:44 | 32.11% | 0.61% | France (7.18%) |
| 36 | 2026-06-21 06:44 | 32.31% | 0.57% | France (7.2%) |
| 40 | 2026-06-22 15:54 | 23.03% | 0.14% | Spain (10.81%) |
| 41 | 2026-06-22 19:50 | 23.24% | 0.12% | Spain (10.84%) |
| 44 | 2026-06-23 05:48 | 23.19% | 0.12% | Spain (10.95%) |
| 47 | 2026-06-24 01:42 | 22.73% | 0.12% | Spain (11.1%) |
| 48 | 2026-06-24 04:46 | 23.1% | 0.12% | Spain (10.55%) |
| 50 | 2026-06-24 21:22 | 23.03% | 0.15% | Spain (10.67%) |
| 54 | 2026-06-25 03:45 | 22.89% | 0.13% | Spain (10.6%) |
| 56 | 2026-06-25 23:22 | 100% | 1.15% | Spain (10.08%) |
| 58 | 2026-06-26 01:46 | 100% | 1.03% | France (10.16%) |
| 60 | 2026-06-26 04:51 | 100% | 1.03% | France (10.38%) |
| 62 | 2026-06-26 21:52 | 100% | 1.04% | France (12.21%) |
| 64 | 2026-06-27 02:11 | 100% | 1.18% | France (11.91%) |
| 66 | 2026-06-27 05:53 | 100% | 1.12% | France (11.61%) |
| 68 | 2026-06-27 23:12 | 100% | 1.08% | France (11.65%) |
| 70 | 2026-06-28 01:45 | 100% | 1.19% | France (11.56%) |
| 72 | 2026-07-12 04:34 | 100% | 0% | France (28.38%) |
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Argentina
England
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Jordan
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